> all-out war with the US is "inevitable within five years."

you know, i just don't buy the idea of inevitable all-out war anymore. i know that people said that modern technology makes all-out war between nations unthinkable before ww1, but i really think its finally true.

if history is given a japanocentric reading, it was inevitable that japan would attack pearl harbor (or at least, the usa) because of what the american embargo did to them, especially as concerns oil.

now, move that situation up 50 years and change the players: china has no oil because of a successful usa led embargo (however implausible that is), their economy is sliding into preindustrial standards. china launches an invasion of russia or the usa or the middle east to capture oil.

to me, that sounds insanely implausible. i can't even imagine any one country making an early-20th century style resource grab. can any of you?