>>165
doubting imo has always been the same as admitting uncertainty, not claiming the negation is true. it connotes exposure to seemingly contradictory evidence though.

i'd seen a BBC documentary from many years ago about global warming where they had attacked the credibility of the claims supporting the theory. as far as i know now, the accuracy of the claims hasn't gotten significantly better, but still continues to be the main support.

i'm not sure whether it was right, but i've seen a graph of atmospheric carbon levels and measured average global temperature, where the carbon levels seem to increase after the temperature increases. i suppose, more accurately, what should be said in describing it is that the fluctuation of carbon, in relation to the fluctuation of temperature, appears to be shifted ahead in time. this doesn't really conflict with the idea that carbon increases cause temperature increases, unless theres areas on the graph where temperature makes some erratic change in direction and then later in time carbon does the same, but i don't recall.

plus i have this feeling in the pit of my stomach that claims of what will happen years in the future are very weak, considering we fail at predicting weather a month away. i know long term climate and weather are different, but still, i'm not sure how much to believe claims of what's going to happen even if we are warming the world right now.

i don't have a personal agenda, but i haven't really been convincinced by evidence, either because of lack of exposure or lack of belief in the validity of certain things. i have heard a lot of people who should be reliable just making claims that they've done studies and the studies indicate blah blah blah. that doesn't particularly affect my opinion, and i don't think it should, since it's just a person talking, not evidence being shown to me.

so i sort of have to make an expected outcome judgment about what i think should be done based on probabilities i dont know and outcomes i don't think anyone knows.

all the uncertainty combined with general apathy regarding the issue leaves me in a position where, if some organization told me the fate of the world relied on people funding organizations like theirs, i would likely keep my money, because i am currently willing to accept the risk.